Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

Thun Neuchâtel Xamax
65 ELO 56
1.6% Tilt 23%
459º General ELO ranking 1667º
12º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Thun
22.7%
Draw
18.7%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
Thun
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.7%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Thun
+2%
-14%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Points and table prediction

Thun
Their league position
Neuchâtel Xamax
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
24
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Yverdon
66
66
100%
Lausanne Sports
61
61
100%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
60
60
100%
Aarau
57
57
100%
FC Wil
56
56
100%
Thun
49
49
100%
Schaffhausen
44
44
100%
FC Vaduz
37
37
100%
AC Bellinzona
37
37
100%
Neuchâtel Xamax
10º
24
24
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Thun
Neuchâtel Xamax
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Thun
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Thun
Thun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jan. 2023
THU
Thun
2 - 2
Luzern
FCL
19%
22%
59%
64 78 14 0
28 Jan. 2023
FCA
Aarau
1 - 0
Thun
THU
42%
24%
34%
65 65 0 -1
21 Jan. 2023
LAU
Lausanne Sports
4 - 1
Thun
THU
44%
22%
33%
65 66 1 0
14 Jan. 2023
YOB
Young Boys
2 - 0
Thun
THU
81%
13%
6%
65 85 20 0
10 Jan. 2023
THU
Thun
0 - 1
AC Bellinzona
BEL
55%
22%
23%
65 59 6 0

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
Schaffhausen
SCH
27%
24%
50%
57 63 6 0
21 Jan. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
4 - 2
Biel-Bienne
BIE
68%
19%
14%
57 46 11 0
20 Jan. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 2
Bulle
BUL
63%
20%
17%
57 48 9 0
14 Jan. 2023
LUG
FC Lugano
3 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
75%
16%
9%
57 79 22 0
11 Jan. 2023
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2 - 2
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
61%
21%
18%
57 66 9 0