Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SCH
2 - 1
THU
24%
23%
53%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
THU
1 - 0
GCZ
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
THU
1 - 0
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 2
THU
19%
23%
58%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
WIN
3 - 0
THU
26%
23%
51%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NEX
3 - 1
STA
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NEX
0 - 1
LUG
20%
22%
58%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 1
NEX
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
NEX
3 - 0
WIL
51%
24%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
YVE
1 - 1
NEX
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |