Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
PAL
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
FCL
0 - 0
THU
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 2
THU
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
THU
3 - 0
GCZ
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
THU
2 - 1
VLZ
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
NEX
0 - 3
SIO
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 0
NEX
81%
14%
6%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
NEX
0 - 3
FCL
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
NEX
0 - 2
SIO
29%
24%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
SIO
0 - 0
NEX
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |