Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
THU
3 - 3
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
NEX
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
STG
0 - 1
THU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
YOB
17%
22%
61%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
GCZ
0 - 0
THU
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
NEX
1 - 2
BEL
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
NEX
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
YOB
3 - 2
NEX
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NEX
0 - 0
GCZ
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 1
NEX
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |