Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
YOB
2 - 2
THU
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 2
THU
45%
25%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 4
THU
10%
17%
73%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
THU
1 - 3
ZUR
22%
23%
55%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
FCL
1 - 1
THU
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
NEX
1 - 1
GCZ
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
SIO
1 - 2
NEX
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FCU
1 - 3
NEX
8%
15%
77%
|
71 | 10 | 61 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
NEX
0 - 1
STG
50%
24%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
4 - 1
NEX
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |