Thun vs Luzern analysis

Thun Luzern
72 ELO 75
5.8% Tilt 14.8%
426º General ELO ranking 289º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.3%
Thun
24.3%
Draw
31.4%
Luzern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
Thun
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.4%
Win probability
Luzern
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Thun
+7%
-7%
Luzern

ELO progression

Thun
Luzern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Thun
Thun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2020
THU
Thun
1 - 5
SC Kriens
KRI
65%
19%
16%
73 61 12 0
29 Aug. 2020
SIO
Sion
3 - 1
Thun
THU
37%
25%
38%
73 72 1 0
10 Aug. 2020
THU
Thun
4 - 3
FC Vaduz
FCV
44%
23%
33%
72 71 1 +1
07 Aug. 2020
FCV
FC Vaduz
2 - 0
Thun
THU
37%
23%
39%
74 70 4 -2
03 Aug. 2020
ZUR
Zurich
3 - 3
Thun
THU
45%
25%
30%
74 74 0 0

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2020
FCL
Luzern
6 - 1
Wohlen
WOH
83%
12%
5%
75 46 29 0
29 Aug. 2020
GCZ
Grasshopper
1 - 1
Luzern
FCL
30%
25%
45%
75 67 8 0
25 Aug. 2020
FCL
Luzern
2 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
44%
24%
32%
75 74 1 0
06 Aug. 2020
FCL
Luzern
1 - 2
Young Boys
YOB
19%
22%
59%
75 87 12 0
03 Aug. 2020
BAS
Basel
0 - 0
Luzern
FCL
71%
18%
12%
75 86 11 0