Thun vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
GCZ
0 - 2
THU
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
THU
0 - 0
LAU
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SIO
7 - 2
THU
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
THU
1 - 2
STG
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 1
THU
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
FCL
3 - 1
STG
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 0
BAS
30%
25%
46%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 1
THU
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |