Thun vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
THU
2 - 1
SIO
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
STG
1 - 2
THU
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 1
THU
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
THU
2 - 4
LAU
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SIO
2 - 1
THU
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 2
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GCZ
4 - 1
FCL
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
FCL
2 - 0
STG
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FCV
0 - 2
FCL
29%
25%
47%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SIO
0 - 0
FCL
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |