Thun vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GCZ
1 - 1
THU
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
THU
2 - 3
SIO
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
STG
0 - 0
THU
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 3
THU
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
THU
1 - 0
LAU
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 1
LUG
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 2
YOB
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LAU
2 - 3
FCL
29%
25%
45%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
FCK
1 - 1
FCL
9%
15%
76%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FCL
3 - 0
STG
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |