Thun vs Luzern analysis

Thun Luzern
78 ELO 78
5.9% Tilt 0.7%
431º General ELO ranking 288º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.1%
Thun
25%
Draw
34.9%
Luzern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
Thun
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.9%
Win probability
Luzern
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Thun
+5%
-6%
Luzern

ELO progression

Thun
Luzern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Thun
Thun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2014
LAU
Lausanne Sports
0 - 1
Thun
THU
26%
25%
49%
77 65 12 0
13 Sep. 2014
FCA
Aarau
2 - 1
Thun
THU
39%
26%
35%
78 71 7 -1
05 Sep. 2014
THU
Thun
0 - 5
Karlsruher SC
KSC
57%
23%
20%
79 75 4 -1
30 Aug. 2014
THU
Thun
2 - 1
Sion
SIO
52%
25%
23%
78 77 1 +1
23 Aug. 2014
BRE
Breitenrain
1 - 3
Thun
THU
15%
21%
65%
78 55 23 0

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2014
SCH
Schaffhausen
3 - 5
Luzern
FCL
23%
22%
54%
78 66 12 0
14 Sep. 2014
YOB
Young Boys
3 - 2
Luzern
FCL
52%
23%
24%
79 82 3 -1
30 Aug. 2014
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
Aarau
FCA
49%
25%
27%
78 72 6 +1
24 Aug. 2014
FCK
FC Konolfingen
0 - 9
Luzern
FCL
5%
11%
84%
78 28 50 0
16 Aug. 2014
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
31%
26%
44%
77 81 4 +1