Thun vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
THU
0 - 1
STG
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2002 |
DEL
0 - 1
THU
47%
24%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
THU
3 - 4
YOB
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
NEX
2 - 1
THU
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
THU
1 - 0
WIN
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 3
ZUR
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
SER
2 - 0
FCL
71%
18%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2002 |
STG
5 - 0
FCL
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
FCL
3 - 0
DEL
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
YOB
2 - 2
FCL
65%
19%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |