Thun vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
STG
1 - 2
THU
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
BIE
1 - 3
THU
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
STR
1 - 2
THU
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
THU
1 - 3
RBL
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
THU
3 - 1
GDA
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 5
FCV
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCK
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LUG
4 - 1
GCZ
25%
23%
51%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 1
LUG
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ZUR
5 - 3
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |