Thun vs Häcken analysis


77	ELO	81
4.9%	Tilt	-2.1%
426º	General ELO ranking	549º
12º	Country ELO ranking	8º
ELO win probability

38.7%

Thun

24.9%

Draw

36.5%

Häcken

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

38.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%

24.9%

Draw

0-0

5.6%

1-1

11.6%

2-2

6%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.9%

36.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Thun

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
04 Aug. 2013	THU 2 - 2 FCA 52% 23% 24%	77	72	5	0
01 Aug. 2013	HÄC 1 - 2 THU 65% 20% 15%	76	82	6	+1
28 Jul. 2013	YOB 3 - 2 THU 59% 22% 19%	77	81	4	-1
25 Jul. 2013	CHI 1 - 3 THU 44% 25% 31%	76	73	3	+1
21 Jul. 2013	THU 3 - 2 STG 44% 25% 31%	76	76	0	0

Matches

Häcken

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
04 Aug. 2013	GÖT 3 - 1 HÄC 39% 26% 35%	82	81	1	0
01 Aug. 2013	HÄC 1 - 2 THU 65% 20% 15%	82	76	6	0
25 Jul. 2013	HÄC 1 - 0 SPA 45% 25% 31%	81	84	3	+1
22 Jul. 2013	HÄC 2 - 3 AIK 52% 24% 24%	82	82	0	-1
18 Jul. 2013	SPA 2 - 2 HÄC 52% 24% 24%	81	84	3	+1