Liga Suiza - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 2-3
Thun vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
GCZ
1 - 1
THU
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 3
THU
22%
24%
55%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
THU
6 - 3
FCV
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
THU
3 - 0
SCH
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 5
THU
11%
19%
70%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
GCZ
1 - 1
THU
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
LAU
0 - 0
GCZ
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GCZ
0 - 1
BAS
28%
23%
49%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
GCZ
2 - 0
YVE
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |