Thun vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
THU
2 - 1
VLZ
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
SER
1 - 2
THU
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
VLZ
0 - 0
THU
44%
25%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 0
THU
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
THU
3 - 1
BEL
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
GCZ
2 - 0
LAU
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
GCZ
2 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
STG
2 - 2
GCZ
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 0
GCZ
22%
25%
53%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
GCZ
2 - 0
SIO
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |