Thun vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
THU
1 - 1
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
STG
3 - 1
THU
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
THU
2 - 1
SCH
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
YOB
2 - 1
THU
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
THU
0 - 1
ZUR
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
NEX
2 - 0
GCZ
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
GCZ
0 - 0
STG
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 2
GCZ
20%
23%
57%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
GCZ
0 - 1
YOB
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
GCZ
0 - 2
SER
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |