Thun vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
55.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
SER
5 - 1
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 1
THU
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
ZBR
1 - 1
THU
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
THU
2 - 3
ZBR
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2003 |
GCZ
5 - 3
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
FCA
2 - 1
GCZ
24%
22%
54%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
GCZ
0 - 1
NEX
67%
19%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
YOB
2 - 4
GCZ
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
GCZ
4 - 2
WIL
69%
18%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |