Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-1
Thun vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SIO
0 - 0
THU
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
THU
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ECH
1 - 3
THU
11%
20%
69%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
THU
1 - 1
FCL
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
THU
1 - 0
HÄC
39%
25%
37%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
5 - 1
82%
12%
7%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
THU
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RAD
0 - 0
PAR
14%
22%
64%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 3
NPA
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 1
LUD
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |