Thun vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
5º
2º
49
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 3
THU
28%
25%
48%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
THU
1 - 1
NEX
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
THU
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
SIO
2 - 3
THU
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
THU
2 - 0
FCA
41%
24%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
ESC
1 - 2
FCV
4%
10%
86%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 2
FCA
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
SCA
2 - 1
FCV
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 0
FCV
23%
23%
55%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
THU
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |