Thun vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
THU
5 - 1
NEX
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
THU
1 - 1
GAL
24%
23%
53%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
THU
4 - 2
WOH
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
THU
3 - 1
LEM
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
THU
2 - 1
SCH
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 2
MID
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
HOF
4 - 0
FCV
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
MID
3 - 0
FCV
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
SIL
1 - 2
FCV
22%
22%
56%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
FCG
0 - 4
FCV
9%
15%
77%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |