Thun vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
THU
3 - 0
YVE
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
KRI
1 - 3
THU
23%
23%
54%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GCZ
2 - 3
THU
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
THU
0 - 1
NEX
63%
20%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
THU
3 - 0
STA
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FCA
2 - 0
SCH
59%
22%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 5
FCA
16%
17%
66%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 3
FCA
73%
16%
11%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCA
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
RAP
2 - 1
FCA
18%
19%
64%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |