Thun vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2007 |
THU
0 - 1
SIO
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
ZUR
3 - 1
THU
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2007 |
THU
1 - 0
STG
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2007 |
NEX
1 - 1
THU
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
THU
2 - 0
SCH
63%
23%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
FCA
2 - 2
GCZ
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCA
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
SIO
3 - 0
FCA
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
28%
27%
46%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
FCA
3 - 1
BEL
54%
23%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |