Thun vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
THU
60%
21%
20%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
ZUR
3 - 0
THU
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
THU
1 - 0
LUG
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
THU
0 - 2
NEX
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FCL
3 - 1
THU
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
THU
60%
21%
20%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCL
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
YOB
3 - 1
BAS
57%
21%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 0
ZUR
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
STG
0 - 3
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |