Thun vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
THU
3 - 1
SIO
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ZUR
3 - 1
THU
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
THU
2 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
YOB
2 - 1
THU
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 1
THU
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
MTA
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GCZ
1 - 1
BAS
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MTA
0 - 0
BAS
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
SIO
67%
20%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 2
YOB
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |