Thun vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
54.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
YOB
4 - 0
THU
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
THU
2 - 0
LAU
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SIO
1 - 0
THU
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
THU
1 - 0
SER
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ZUR
1 - 1
THU
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
5 - 0
SER
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
5 - 2
LAU
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 4
EGY
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
BYM
7 - 0
BAS
73%
16%
10%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GCZ
0 - 2
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |