Thun vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 1
THU
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GCZ
2 - 1
THU
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
THU
0 - 0
YOB
26%
25%
48%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
FCA
5 - 0
THU
39%
27%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
THU
1 - 1
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
GCZ
0 - 1
BAS
30%
25%
46%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
DZG
0 - 0
BAS
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
GCZ
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAS
25%
24%
52%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |