Thun vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
53.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SIO
2 - 1
THU
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
THU
2 - 1
FCL
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 2
THU
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
THU
1 - 3
SIO
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 1
THU
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 3
BAS
11%
19%
70%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 2
ZUR
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
STG
0 - 0
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 3
STG
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
ZUR
0 - 1
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |