Thun vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ZUR
1 - 0
THU
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
HSV
2 - 0
THU
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
THU
1 - 1
YOB
48%
24%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2006 |
THU
1 - 0
HSV
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
NEX
0 - 0
THU
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
YVE
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
BAS
56%
24%
21%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
SCH
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 0
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |