Thun vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
STG
1 - 1
THU
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
THU
3 - 2
GCZ
23%
22%
56%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
SER
5 - 1
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 1
THU
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 3
BAS
27%
22%
50%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
BAS
4 - 2
NEX
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2003 |
YOB
2 - 3
BAS
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |