Thun vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
THU
2 - 3
NEX
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
GCZ
2 - 0
THU
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
THU
2 - 4
AJA
34%
25%
40%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
THU
1 - 6
ZUR
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
THU
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
WIG
2 - 3
ARS
12%
22%
66%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 1
SUN
83%
12%
5%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 0
SPA
81%
13%
6%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
TOT
1 - 1
ARS
22%
25%
53%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
SUN
0 - 3
ARS
13%
24%
63%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |