Thun vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
THU
1 - 6
ZUR
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
THU
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
THU
5 - 1
STG
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
5 - 1
THU
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
THU
1 - 0
SPA
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
SCH
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
PSV
1 - 0
AJA
49%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
THU
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 2
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |