Thun II vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LUZ
7 - 3
THU
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
WAN
2 - 0
THU
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 4
THU
50%
25%
26%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
THU
1 - 3
SOL
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
5 - 0
THU
38%
23%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
NEX
1 - 2
ZOF
86%
10%
4%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
FCG
1 - 3
NEX
13%
21%
67%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NEX
6 - 3
FCS
86%
10%
4%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NEX
2 - 1
GRA
85%
11%
5%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 3
NEX
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | -1 |