Thun II vs Munsingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
WAN
4 - 1
THU
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
THU
3 - 1
BAD
41%
24%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LUZ
4 - 0
THU
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -3 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
THU
0 - 2
ZUG
58%
21%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 2
THU
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Munsingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 3
BLA
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BUO
0 - 0
MUN
40%
24%
35%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MUN
3 - 2
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DEL
0 - 4
MUN
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +4 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 2
SCH
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |