Thun II vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
63.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BER
2 - 0
THU
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
THU
0 - 1
DEL
20%
22%
59%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BLA
4 - 4
THU
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
DUL
2 - 3
THU
19%
18%
63%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
THU
1 - 2
DUR
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LUZ
1 - 0
FCM
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
YOU
2 - 2
LUZ
52%
21%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BER
0 - 6
LUZ
10%
16%
75%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
LUZ
6 - 0
CON
86%
10%
5%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
BLA
3 - 3
LUZ
47%
22%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |