Thun II vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FCK
3 - 2
THU
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ESB
4 - 3
THU
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
BAV
5 - 0
THU
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
THU
2 - 1
COL
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 0
THU
19%
22%
59%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LER
5 - 0
ESB
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BUM
2 - 2
LER
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |