Thun II vs Lancy FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
65.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
THU
0 - 0
CSC
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
NAT
3 - 0
THU
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
THU
1 - 4
ECH
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 0
THU
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
THU
3 - 1
FRI
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Lancy FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LAN
2 - 1
MEY
29%
24%
48%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CSC
5 - 2
LAN
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LAN
2 - 1
NAT
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 4
FCA
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FRI
1 - 3
LAN
18%
20%
62%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |