Thun II vs Fribourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
TPA
2 - 3
THU
22%
20%
58%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
THU
4 - 1
ECH
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
COL
2 - 2
THU
28%
21%
51%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
BRE
2 - 0
THU
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
CSC
2 - 5
THU
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ECH
0 - 0
FRI
62%
21%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
FRI
1 - 2
STA
53%
22%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
LOC
2 - 1
FRI
62%
19%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
FRI
0 - 1
YOU
9%
15%
76%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
VEV
1 - 0
FRI
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |