Thun II vs Tavannes / Tramelan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FCK
1 - 5
THU
27%
21%
51%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
STA
1 - 1
THU
14%
18%
68%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
THU
2 - 2
ROM
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LOC
2 - 3
THU
22%
19%
59%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
THU
0 - 1
FCP
81%
12%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tavannes / Tramelan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
TAV
1 - 1
BUB
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
TAV
1 - 2
LIE
33%
22%
46%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
OLD
3 - 1
TAV
72%
17%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
TAV
4 - 1
BIN
50%
22%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ALL
1 - 1
TAV
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |