Thun II vs FC Prishtina Bern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
15º
15º
54
2º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
THU
1 - 1
MUN
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
THU
1 - 4
BIE
9%
15%
77%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
THU
2 - 3
WOH
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SCH
5 - 1
THU
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
THU
0 - 2
LAN
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Prishtina Bern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WOH
0 - 0
FCP
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 2
FCP
17%
22%
62%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 1
GUM
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
FCP
13%
17%
69%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCP
6 - 0
BIN
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |