Thun II vs Piamont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FAR
2 - 1
THU
18%
20%
62%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
THU
2 - 2
DUD
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
POR
0 - 4
THU
26%
21%
53%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
THU
4 - 1
SEC
71%
17%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
NEX
3 - 2
THU
51%
20%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Piamont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
DUD
5 - 0
FCP
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FCP
1 - 4
SEC
44%
21%
35%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FRI
1 - 2
FCP
39%
22%
39%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FCP
5 - 1
ECH
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
STA
0 - 2
FCP
51%
22%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |