Thun II vs FC Koniz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
31.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
13º
40
2º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
THU
2 - 3
SOL
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
EMM
1 - 5
THU
27%
21%
52%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
THU
2 - 1
FCM
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CON
4 - 2
THU
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Koniz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 1
BLA
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 1
FCK
49%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 2
MUT
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
RTK
0 - 0
FCK
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 0
WOH
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |