Thun II vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
52.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
YOU
2 - 2
THU
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
THU
1 - 2
VEV
41%
24%
36%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LAU
6 - 1
THU
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
THU
0 - 2
BUL
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MEY
2 - 1
THU
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ETO
3 - 0
LAN
33%
23%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CSC
1 - 2
ETO
43%
22%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
ECH
3 - 2
ETO
59%
19%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ETO
0 - 1
NAT
61%
20%
20%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ETO
3 - 0
FCA
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |