Thun II vs Echallens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BUL
2 - 1
THU
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
THU
3 - 1
MAR
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LEM
4 - 1
THU
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
THU
0 - 1
TER
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
YOU
2 - 0
THU
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Echallens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 2
ECH
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
ECH
2 - 0
BUL
73%
16%
12%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ECH
4 - 1
MAR
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ECH
0 - 1
LEM
27%
23%
50%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TER
0 - 1
ECH
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |