Thun II vs Dudingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
43.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
THU
0 - 3
GRA
45%
23%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCG
1 - 3
THU
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
THU
4 - 2
SOL
29%
25%
47%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +3 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 2
THU
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
THU
2 - 1
ZOF
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dudingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
DUD
5 - 4
YOU
36%
24%
39%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BUL
2 - 5
DUD
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
DUD
0 - 2
FRI
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
DUD
0 - 1
MEY
45%
24%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
GRA
4 - 1
DUD
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |