Thun II vs Romontois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LOC
2 - 3
THU
22%
19%
59%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
THU
0 - 1
FCP
81%
12%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FAR
2 - 1
THU
18%
20%
62%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
THU
2 - 2
DUD
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
POR
0 - 4
THU
26%
21%
53%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Romontois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FCP
1 - 2
ROM
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ROM
0 - 0
DUD
17%
18%
65%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SEC
3 - 0
ROM
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ROM
2 - 4
FRI
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ECH
2 - 1
ROM
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |