Thun II vs Bümpliz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
THU
5 - 3
MUT
56%
21%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
LAU
1 - 4
THU
28%
22%
49%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
THU
2 - 0
GRA
46%
22%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ZOF
2 - 1
THU
68%
17%
14%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
THU
0 - 1
BRE
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bümpliz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BUM
2 - 5
OLD
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
MUT
2 - 1
BUM
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
BUM
3 - 0
LAU
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GRA
6 - 1
BUM
75%
15%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
BUM
1 - 3
ZOF
23%
21%
57%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |