Thun II vs Bulle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
THU
5 - 1
CSC
53%
21%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
THU
3 - 0
DOR
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
MOU
2 - 2
THU
33%
22%
46%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
THU
0 - 0
FCS
81%
12%
8%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ALL
0 - 2
THU
16%
18%
67%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Bulle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BUL
2 - 0
LAU
42%
24%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
GEN
1 - 7
BUL
12%
15%
73%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
BUL
5 - 4
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
TER
2 - 3
BUL
18%
20%
62%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
BUL
2 - 0
NAT
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |