Thun II vs Bern 1894 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
DEL
2 - 1
THU
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
THU
3 - 1
BLA
35%
25%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +3 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
THU
3 - 2
BUO
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SOL
1 - 2
THU
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
THU
4 - 1
SCH
37%
24%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BER
0 - 1
FCM
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LUZ
1 - 1
BER
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BER
1 - 2
YOU
14%
19%
68%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
DEL
3 - 0
BER
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BER
1 - 0
BLA
11%
18%
71%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +3 |