Thun II vs Bassecourt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
29%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
15º
15º
38
3º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
THU
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
THU
1 - 1
LAN
30%
22%
49%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
5 - 1
THU
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
THU
1 - 2
BBB
39%
21%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
THU
2 - 1
FCP
21%
23%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Bassecourt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 2
WOH
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RTK
1 - 0
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 0
CON
25%
23%
53%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 1
DIE
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 2
BAS
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |