Fifth Division Iceland Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Thróttur Vogar vs Hvíti Riddarinn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thróttur Vogar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HVI
0 - 4
THR
46%
23%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
THR
4 - 2
HOR
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
THR
6 - 0
SKI
77%
15%
9%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
ISB
0 - 9
THR
6%
13%
81%
|
50 | 10 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
THR
5 - 3
STA
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Hvíti Riddarinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HVI
0 - 4
THR
46%
23%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
HVI
1 - 3
VAN
51%
22%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
KBB
3 - 4
HVI
21%
21%
58%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
KRI
5 - 2
HVI
30%
23%
47%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
KOH
1 - 4
HVI
25%
22%
53%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |